
Reframing the global case for Chinese EVs
By David Jiang, Head of Industry Group, Industrial and Technology, Asia Pacific.
Electric vehicles (EVs) are now the primary growth driver for China’s auto sector. Sales of battery EVs continued to power ahead in the first half of 2026, defying an overall weak domestic market. The most recent data showed EV sales rising 2% year on year in June, versus a decline of more than 33% year on year for sales of internal combustion engine models. 1
The changing dynamics of world’s biggest car market underline the case for EVs. Even with a new 5% purchase tax, in force since January, consumers are finding the user experience and economic appeal hard to resist. Including plug-in hybrids, six in 10 new cars sold in China are now EVs.
Meanwhile, EV exports more than doubled, underscoring growing demand beyond China’s borders. 2 This represents a significant opportunity for Chinese EV manufacturers to accelerate their international expansion plans, gain a foothold in overseas markets and find respite from challenging conditions at home.
Can they capture this window of opportunity in the global market?
Driving the export engine
Without doubt, overseas customers are rapidly becoming more important to Chinese EV makers. While domestic auto sales fell 21% year on year in June, total passenger vehicle exports grew by 80%, with overseas EV sales rising by 159% versus 29% for internal combustion engine vehicles. EVs, including hybrids, accounted for over half of all passenger vehicle exports. 3
What is more, consumers outside China are increasingly receptive to the country’s EVs. A December 2025 survey found that half of Europeans say they would consider buying a Chinese vehicle, up from 43% in October 2023. 4
While intense competition at home has squeezed profitability, it has also kept Chinese carmakers at the cutting edge of EV technology, lifting their competitiveness in the global market. It was clear at the Beijing Auto Show in April that domestic players are leading with an “In China, For Global” narrative and launching some new models with a global audience in mind. 5
Core competitive strengths
China’s EV sector benefits from a well-developed supply chain and strong manufacturing capabilities, which have helped it achieve a competitive combination of structural cost efficiency and product quality.
Battery technology sits at the core of this advantage. China accounts for over 80% of global lithium ion battery manufacturing, supplying the vast majority of cathode and anode materials that determine battery cost. Innovations, including 10 minute charging times and extended range, are narrowing the convenience gap with internal combustion vehicles faster than many expected. 6
Taken together, these technological advantages translate into something strategically decisive: pricing power at scale. Chinese manufacturers operate with structurally lower break-even points, supported by vertically integrated domestic supply chains and lower funding costs. They also benefit from the ability to spread research & development and other fixed costs across vast domestic market, enabling faster investment payback. This allows Chinese manufacturers to compete aggressively in export markets while retaining operational flexibility on marketing.
The story does not end with hardware. Chinese EV manufacturers increasingly approach vehicles as consumer electronics platforms. Software defined architectures, over the air updates and rapid localization of digital features are central to product strategy. This resonates strongly in emerging markets – and increasingly in developed ones, where connectivity, digital experience and upgradeability are becoming core purchase criteria rather than optional extras.
The road ahead
For investors and industry observers, the question is no longer whether Chinese EVs can compete globally. It is how quickly their structural advantages translate into durable market share far from home.
Access to financing in key consumer markets will have an important role to play in capturing this opportunity. In the face of increased protectionism – including the local-content rules proposed in the European Union’s Industrial Accelerator Act 7 – many manufacturers are building localized production facilities or exploring joint ventures and manufacturing partnerships in key customer markets. This is shifting the debate away from subsidies and short term demand cycles toward sustainable cost leadership, capital efficiency and cross border returns on invested capital.
Execution risks remain. Trust building in new markets, fragmented regulation and trade policy constraints will shape outcomes. But the direction of travel is clear. Battery leadership and decades of accumulated manufacturing know how are converging to reposition Chinese EV makers as central players in the next phase of global automotive growth.
1 Bernstein Research: Chinese Autos: Still Searching for a Bottom — June domestic sales -21% YoY, EV penetration 59%; Export +80% YoY, 16 July 2026
2 Bernstein Research: Chinese Autos: Still Searching for a Bottom — June domestic sales -21% YoY, EV penetration 59%; Export +80% YoY, 16 July 2026
3 Bernstein Research: Chinese Autos: Still Searching for a Bottom — June domestic sales -21% YoY, EV penetration 59%; Export +80% YoY, 16 July 2026
4 Bernstein Research: Global Autos: Are Europeans ready for a Chinese car? Key webinar Takeaways, 8 April 2026
5 Bernstein Research: Chinese Autos: 2026 Beijing Auto Show takeaways — China as Battlefield or Launchpad? 26 April 2026
6 https://autos.yahoo.com/ev-and-future-tech/articles/charging-10-minutes-might-soon-130059577.html
7 https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document/EPRS_BRI(2026)789300
Reframing the global case for Chinese EVs
By David Jiang, Head of Industry Group, Industrial and Technology, Asia Pacific.

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